Examining Malaria Incidence, Related Deaths, and their Relationship in Nigeria: A State-Level Analysis from 2010 to 2020

Authors

Yakubu Joel Cherima, Zubairul Islam, Ugo Uwadiako Enebeli, Rejoice Kaka Hassan, Fiyidi Mikailu, Yonwul Jacqueline Dakyen, Uchenna Stephen Nwokenna, Kebiru Umoru, Eziyi Iche Kalu

Abstract

This research examines the change and relationship in malaria incidences and malaria-related death rates from 2010 to 2020. The study focuses on analyzing the slope and regression results to understand the change on the magnitude and direction of malaria at state level in Nigeria. The findings reveal that there is a positive association between malaria incidences and malaria-related death rates. The regression analysis demonstrates a significant relationship between these variables, with a high R-squared value of 0.85, indicating that approximately 85% of the variation in malaria-related death rates can be explained by changes in malaria incidences. The statistically significant p-values and F-statistic of 0.000 further confirm the robustness and significance of the model. The results underscore the critical importance of effective malaria prevention and control measures. The study highlights the need for comprehensive strategies that encompass mosquito control, bed net distribution, and access to appropriate anti-malarial treatment. By addressing these factors, the burden of malaria on public health can be significantly reduced.

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